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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University-0.61+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.84+0.31vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.99+3.00vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.58+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-2.00+3.38vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.44-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-0.98-1.14vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-1.09-1.86vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-1.08-2.95vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-1.59-2.64vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-2.46-1.65vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-4.88-0.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Michigan State University-0.610.1%1st Place
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2.31University of Wisconsin0.840.4%1st Place
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6.0Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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5.01Purdue University-0.580.1%1st Place
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8.38University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Toledo-0.980.1%1st Place
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6.14Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.05Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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7.36University of Wisconsin-1.590.0%1st Place
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9.35Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
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11.71Michigan Technological University-4.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Geiser | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Kelly | 38.9% | 26.4% | 15.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Ritter | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Mark Hurt | 7.8% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Carla Marzari | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 24.4% | 3.1% |
| Maya Smith | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Imbler | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Weesies | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Harrison | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Thickens | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 18.6% | 40.0% | 6.5% |
| John Early | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 5.6% | 88.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.