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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.64+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+1.35vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University-0.74+1.82vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.66+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.22-1.13vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.89-0.86vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.82-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.51-0.41vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.96-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Boston University0.6436.1%1st Place
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3.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0217.5%1st Place
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4.82Northeastern University-0.747.6%1st Place
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4.73Brandeis University-0.667.9%1st Place
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3.87University of New Hampshire-0.2214.1%1st Place
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5.14McGill University-0.897.3%1st Place
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4.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.827.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.511.5%1st Place
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8.09University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.960.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Rathbun | 36.1% | 24.6% | 17.9% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Delong | 17.5% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Whitman | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Myles Hazen | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Marykate Hanus | 14.1% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 18.9% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Isaac Thompson | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 19.6% | 9.4% | 1.6% |
| Sara Donahue | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 36.1% | 35.5% |
| Annette Limoges | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 24.2% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.