Race 2B

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Thomas Kelly 37.0% 28.1% 14.6% 10.6% 4.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Geiser 8.6% 11.3% 12.2% 13.5% 12.8% 11.6% 10.0% 8.0% 7.1% 3.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Caroline Ritter 7.4% 6.7% 8.4% 10.5% 9.2% 11.8% 11.2% 11.9% 12.8% 7.2% 2.8% 0.1%
Mark Hurt 8.3% 12.4% 12.1% 12.5% 12.8% 13.0% 9.9% 8.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Jonathan Thickens 3.0% 4.9% 5.6% 5.5% 8.2% 8.3% 8.6% 10.8% 13.5% 16.3% 13.9% 1.4%
Matthew Harrison 5.9% 6.6% 8.3% 9.5% 8.9% 11.3% 12.1% 12.8% 12.3% 8.0% 4.1% 0.2%
Delaney Imbler 7.1% 6.9% 11.0% 9.8% 10.8% 11.8% 10.7% 10.6% 9.7% 7.3% 4.2% 0.1%
Maya Smith 11.9% 13.3% 14.0% 12.6% 12.5% 9.8% 10.8% 6.3% 4.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Carla Marzari 2.2% 2.0% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 7.0% 8.9% 9.2% 12.4% 21.2% 22.8% 1.8%
Jacob Weesies 6.6% 6.1% 8.8% 9.2% 11.6% 8.1% 11.6% 13.4% 11.1% 8.9% 4.3% 0.3%
Jacob Weaver 1.8% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 3.2% 4.1% 4.4% 7.5% 9.0% 19.2% 39.3% 6.6%
John Early 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 2.0% 5.0% 89.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.