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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+1.24vs Predicted
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2Hope College-2.00+6.10vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.58+1.81vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College-2.46+5.04vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-1.59+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of Toledo-0.98-0.27vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.09-1.07vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-0.61-3.19vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-0.44-4.65vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.00-1.96vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.08-4.92vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-4.88-0.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Wisconsin0.840.4%1st Place
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8.1Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.81Purdue University-0.580.1%1st Place
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9.04Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Wisconsin-1.590.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Toledo-0.980.1%1st Place
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5.93Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.81Michigan State University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.08Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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11.68Michigan Technological University-4.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 39.4% | 26.9% | 16.8% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Sabo | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 2.0% |
| Mark Hurt | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 35.3% | 4.8% |
| Jonathan Thickens | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 1.5% |
| Delaney Imbler | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Weesies | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Geiser | 10.1% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Maya Smith | 11.2% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carla Marzari | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Harrison | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| John Early | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.9% | 88.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.