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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+1.25vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.58+2.79vs Predicted
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3Hope College-2.00+5.10vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.08+1.99vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-0.98+0.77vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.09+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-2.00+1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota-0.44-3.54vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-1.59-1.95vs Predicted
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10Hillsdale College-2.46-1.05vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-0.61-6.04vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-4.88-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25University of Wisconsin0.840.4%1st Place
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4.79Purdue University-0.580.1%1st Place
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8.1Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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5.99Grand Valley State University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.77University of Toledo-0.980.1%1st Place
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6.01Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Wisconsin-1.590.0%1st Place
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8.95Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
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4.96Michigan State University-0.610.1%1st Place
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11.69Michigan Technological University-4.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 40.4% | 26.9% | 14.8% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mark Hurt | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Sabo | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Harrison | 4.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Delaney Imbler | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Weesies | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Carla Marzari | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 3.2% |
| Maya Smith | 13.1% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Thickens | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 20.2% | 33.6% | 4.3% |
| Ryan Geiser | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Early | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 5.6% | 88.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.