Race 5B

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Thomas Kelly 37.6% 27.9% 16.0% 9.4% 4.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Ritter 5.2% 8.6% 9.8% 10.4% 9.0% 11.3% 11.8% 11.2% 10.4% 8.7% 3.3% 0.3%
Maya Smith 11.9% 11.5% 14.4% 12.4% 13.9% 10.9% 9.8% 7.2% 4.1% 3.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Jonathan Thickens 2.4% 4.6% 4.4% 6.8% 7.6% 9.1% 8.9% 10.8% 14.9% 16.3% 13.1% 1.1%
Mark Hurt 9.6% 10.9% 12.7% 12.5% 11.5% 11.2% 10.9% 7.9% 7.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.0%
Ryan Geiser 10.1% 11.3% 10.8% 11.6% 11.9% 12.8% 10.7% 9.3% 6.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.0%
Matthew Harrison 6.2% 6.8% 8.2% 10.3% 9.9% 9.8% 12.1% 12.2% 10.4% 9.7% 4.1% 0.3%
Carla Marzari 2.1% 3.3% 4.6% 4.2% 4.7% 7.3% 6.1% 9.4% 13.3% 21.5% 21.0% 2.5%
Jacob Weesies 5.6% 6.0% 8.7% 10.7% 11.7% 11.4% 10.7% 11.9% 12.5% 7.6% 3.0% 0.2%
Delaney Imbler 7.3% 7.4% 8.7% 9.7% 11.3% 9.8% 11.7% 12.7% 10.2% 6.8% 4.3% 0.1%
Jacob Weaver 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 4.2% 5.5% 5.9% 9.5% 16.4% 42.2% 6.3%
John Early 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 2.1% 5.3% 89.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.