Race 6B

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Thomas Kelly 38.0% 27.4% 15.9% 8.4% 5.2% 2.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Geiser 7.5% 11.8% 11.8% 13.4% 11.8% 11.1% 9.9% 9.1% 6.8% 3.6% 2.9% 0.3%
Matthew Harrison 6.8% 6.0% 7.8% 9.3% 8.5% 10.1% 11.0% 10.2% 11.6% 9.6% 6.5% 2.6%
Maya Smith 9.6% 13.7% 12.0% 14.4% 11.7% 11.8% 8.4% 7.8% 5.3% 3.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Mark Hurt 9.7% 9.5% 12.8% 12.2% 12.6% 11.2% 9.7% 7.9% 6.1% 4.5% 3.2% 0.6%
Caroline Ritter 6.4% 7.6% 9.0% 8.5% 9.6% 10.7% 12.3% 10.2% 10.0% 7.9% 5.8% 2.0%
Jacob Weesies 6.4% 6.6% 7.5% 9.7% 10.3% 9.2% 11.2% 11.2% 9.5% 8.8% 6.2% 3.4%
Delaney Imbler 7.4% 7.6% 8.9% 9.6% 10.3% 10.6% 10.3% 10.4% 9.9% 7.9% 4.2% 2.9%
Jonathan Thickens 2.9% 2.9% 4.9% 6.0% 9.0% 7.9% 9.8% 11.2% 13.1% 12.3% 12.7% 7.3%
Carla Marzari 2.1% 2.7% 4.7% 3.7% 4.7% 6.4% 5.8% 6.9% 11.7% 14.8% 19.0% 17.5%
Theo Wachowski 2.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 8.1% 8.3% 14.4% 20.8% 25.0%
Jacob Weaver 1.0% 2.4% 2.6% 2.4% 1.6% 3.9% 4.2% 6.6% 7.4% 12.3% 17.8% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.