← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin0.84+1.24vs Predicted
-
2Hope College-2.00+6.54vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-0.61+2.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Minnesota-0.44+0.62vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-0.58-0.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Toledo-0.98-0.05vs Predicted
-
7Grand Valley State University-1.08-0.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Toledo-2.00+0.42vs Predicted
-
9Grand Valley State University-1.09-2.93vs Predicted
-
10Hillsdale College-2.46-0.56vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin-1.59-3.38vs Predicted
-
12Michigan Technological University-2.17-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24University of Wisconsin0.840.4%1st Place
-
8.54Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
-
5.05Michigan State University-0.610.1%1st Place
-
4.62University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
-
4.95Purdue University-0.580.1%1st Place
-
5.95University of Toledo-0.980.1%1st Place
-
6.13Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
-
6.07Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
-
9.44Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
-
7.62University of Wisconsin-1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.99Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 41.4% | 25.7% | 15.5% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Sabo | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 15.1% |
| Ryan Geiser | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Maya Smith | 10.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Mark Hurt | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Delaney Imbler | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Harrison | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Carla Marzari | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 15.4% |
| Jacob Weesies | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 18.7% | 32.4% |
| Jonathan Thickens | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 8.7% |
| Theo Wachowski | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.