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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.84+1.30vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.61+3.07vs Predicted
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3Hope College-2.00+5.52vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-1.09+2.30vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-1.59+2.48vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.58-1.02vs Predicted
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7Hillsdale College-2.46+2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.00+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota-0.44-4.56vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.08-3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-0.98-4.92vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-2.17-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Wisconsin0.840.4%1st Place
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5.07Michigan State University-0.610.1%1st Place
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8.52Hope College-2.000.0%1st Place
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6.3Grand Valley State University-1.090.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Wisconsin-1.590.0%1st Place
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4.98Purdue University-0.580.1%1st Place
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9.34Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
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8.37University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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6.18Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Toledo-0.980.1%1st Place
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8.95Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Kelly | 39.5% | 26.1% | 16.6% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Geiser | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Sabo | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 16.3% |
| Jacob Weesies | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Thickens | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% |
| Mark Hurt | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Weaver | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 30.4% |
| Carla Marzari | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 15.9% |
| Maya Smith | 10.9% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Harrison | 6.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Delaney Imbler | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Theo Wachowski | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.