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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.99+5.27vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University-0.61+3.24vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota-0.44+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-1.59+3.78vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.84-2.61vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-1.08+0.43vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-1.09-0.64vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-0.98-1.89vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.58-4.03vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.00-1.31vs Predicted
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11Hillsdale College-2.46-1.19vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-2.17-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27Hope College-0.990.1%1st Place
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5.24Michigan State University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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7.78University of Wisconsin-1.590.0%1st Place
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2.39University of Wisconsin0.840.4%1st Place
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6.43Grand Valley State University-1.080.1%1st Place
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6.36Grand Valley State University-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Toledo-0.980.1%1st Place
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4.97Purdue University-0.580.1%1st Place
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8.69University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
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9.81Hillsdale College-2.460.0%1st Place
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9.17Michigan Technological University-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Ritter | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Geiser | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Maya Smith | 10.9% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Thickens | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 9.1% |
| Thomas Kelly | 39.1% | 25.8% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Harrison | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Weesies | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Delaney Imbler | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Mark Hurt | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Carla Marzari | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 18.1% |
| Jacob Weaver | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 21.3% | 36.3% |
| Theo Wachowski | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.