Race 10B

laker-showdown

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Thomas Kelly 39.7% 24.8% 15.1% 10.3% 4.6% 2.7% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Ritter 4.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.3% 10.7% 10.6% 10.2% 11.4% 9.1% 8.9% 5.9% 1.4%
Mark Hurt 10.1% 11.1% 11.3% 10.7% 11.8% 12.2% 10.6% 9.0% 6.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8%
Matthew Harrison 4.7% 6.4% 7.3% 11.0% 9.6% 11.0% 10.7% 11.2% 9.0% 9.3% 6.8% 3.0%
Ryan Geiser 9.4% 11.2% 10.5% 12.1% 11.6% 11.8% 10.3% 7.7% 7.1% 4.1% 3.5% 0.7%
Delaney Imbler 6.8% 7.1% 8.3% 8.7% 11.0% 10.5% 10.5% 11.9% 9.2% 9.2% 4.8% 2.0%
Jacob Weesies 6.1% 6.1% 7.9% 10.0% 10.4% 9.6% 9.8% 10.0% 12.3% 8.8% 6.4% 2.6%
Carla Marzari 2.3% 3.6% 3.6% 3.9% 4.4% 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 10.0% 14.1% 19.8% 16.8%
Maya Smith 10.1% 13.1% 16.2% 13.7% 12.2% 9.6% 9.5% 7.5% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Jacob Weaver 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 1.7% 3.3% 3.9% 4.6% 6.1% 8.2% 11.2% 18.0% 36.3%
Jonathan Thickens 3.2% 3.3% 4.7% 5.7% 6.7% 7.5% 8.3% 9.4% 13.7% 14.8% 12.1% 10.6%
Theo Wachowski 1.5% 2.8% 3.5% 1.9% 3.7% 3.9% 6.6% 7.2% 10.3% 13.5% 19.5% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.