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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.08+7.94vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.92+1.40vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.56+1.25vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.95-0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.40-0.40vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.44-1.51vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.27-2.09vs Predicted
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9Marquette University1.11-2.60vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.02-0.92vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-0.31-1.31vs Predicted
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12Iowa State University-0.52-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-1.58-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.94University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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3.7University of Wisconsin2.240.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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4.28Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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5.6University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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5.91Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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6.4Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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9.08Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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10.31Iowa State University-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Valverde | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 3.5% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 20.6% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 13.3% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Mark Davies | 16.4% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Austin Haag | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colton Gerber | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Bruce | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| David Mirkhaef | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 7.0% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 20.6% | 9.8% |
| Stefan Peterson | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 27.2% | 16.7% |
| Jacob Turenne | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 16.5% | 61.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.