← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.95+3.33vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan1.40+3.63vs Predicted
-
3University of Wisconsin2.24+0.67vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.56+1.30vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan1.44+0.49vs Predicted
-
6University of Minnesota0.08+2.92vs Predicted
-
7Northwestern University1.27-1.08vs Predicted
-
8Purdue University0.02+1.00vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame1.92-4.59vs Predicted
-
10Marquette University1.11-3.65vs Predicted
-
11Iowa State University-0.52-0.90vs Predicted
-
12University of Chicago-0.31-2.09vs Predicted
-
13University of Illinois-1.58-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.33Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
-
5.63University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
-
3.67University of Wisconsin2.240.2%1st Place
-
5.3University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
-
8.92University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
-
5.92Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
-
9.0Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
-
4.41University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
-
6.35Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
-
10.1Iowa State University-0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
-
11.97University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Davies | 15.8% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Austin Haag | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 20.2% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Colton Gerber | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 4.1% |
| Jacob Bruce | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| David Mirkhaef | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 17.1% | 4.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Stefan Peterson | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 21.8% | 15.7% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 24.4% | 11.6% |
| Jacob Turenne | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 62.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.