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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.56+4.23vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.95+2.33vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.92+1.40vs Predicted
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4Marquette University1.11+2.42vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.27+0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.24-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.44-1.56vs Predicted
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8Iowa State University-0.52+2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.40-3.34vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.02-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-0.31-1.33vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-1.58-0.07vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota0.08-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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4.33Northwestern University1.950.2%1st Place
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4.4University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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6.42Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.92Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Wisconsin2.240.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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10.18Iowa State University-0.520.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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9.05Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 15.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 14.4% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Bruce | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 21.5% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colton Gerber | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stefan Peterson | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 28.2% | 14.4% |
| Austin Haag | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 6.5% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 10.7% |
| Jacob Turenne | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 61.8% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.