Race 4A

nu-spring

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Mark Davies 16.0% 13.3% 14.1% 13.0% 11.0% 11.2% 8.4% 6.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Ryan Clulo 6.6% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 7.8% 10.4% 12.2% 12.8% 10.8% 9.0% 5.1% 2.2% 0.5%
Colton Gerber 8.0% 9.5% 11.3% 9.7% 10.9% 10.5% 10.7% 11.8% 8.5% 6.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Austin Haag 7.8% 9.2% 9.6% 11.4% 11.3% 9.3% 11.5% 10.0% 10.1% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Carolyn Keck 11.0% 11.3% 11.0% 10.3% 10.8% 10.8% 11.5% 9.2% 7.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Charlie Kutschenreuter 21.2% 18.8% 14.7% 13.1% 12.8% 6.3% 5.2% 4.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Valverde 3.3% 2.1% 3.4% 3.4% 4.8% 4.9% 6.0% 8.2% 11.2% 14.8% 18.8% 14.6% 4.5%
Jacob Bruce 7.8% 8.0% 8.2% 9.4% 8.4% 13.1% 12.6% 10.3% 11.1% 5.9% 3.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Christian Cyrul 14.2% 15.2% 12.7% 13.4% 12.0% 10.0% 8.1% 6.2% 4.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Stefan Peterson 0.7% 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 2.7% 2.9% 2.4% 4.9% 7.8% 12.3% 17.9% 26.6% 15.7%
Geoffrey Owens 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 2.6% 2.8% 4.7% 5.7% 6.4% 8.9% 15.1% 19.3% 19.7% 10.3%
David Mirkhaef 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 2.7% 4.1% 5.1% 4.2% 7.8% 11.4% 14.7% 20.6% 16.0% 6.5%
Jacob Turenne 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.0% 5.8% 7.1% 16.8% 61.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.