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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.56+4.31vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.92+2.39vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.11+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.24-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.08+3.84vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.27-0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.44-1.49vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.40-2.38vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.31+0.84vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.02-0.98vs Predicted
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11Iowa State University-0.52-0.88vs Predicted
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12University of Illinois-1.58-0.02vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University1.95-8.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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4.39University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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6.42Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Wisconsin2.240.2%1st Place
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8.84University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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5.94Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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5.62University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.02Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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10.12Iowa State University-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
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4.36Northwestern University1.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Christian Cyrul | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 19.6% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 4.2% |
| Jacob Bruce | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Colton Gerber | 10.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Haag | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 23.5% | 12.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 15.6% | 5.4% |
| Stefan Peterson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 14.3% |
| Jacob Turenne | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 63.4% |
| Mark Davies | 14.0% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.