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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.56+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.92+2.34vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.95+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.08+4.99vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.11+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan1.44-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.24-3.34vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.27-2.08vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.40-3.32vs Predicted
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10Iowa State University-0.52+0.20vs Predicted
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11Purdue University0.02-2.02vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-0.31-2.08vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-1.58-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.33Northwestern University1.950.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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6.25Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Wisconsin2.240.2%1st Place
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5.92Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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10.2Iowa State University-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.98Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Chicago-0.310.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 15.1% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mark Davies | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 4.5% |
| Ryan Clulo | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Colton Gerber | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 20.9% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Bruce | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Austin Haag | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Stefan Peterson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 25.9% | 16.3% |
| David Mirkhaef | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Geoffrey Owens | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 22.7% | 12.0% |
| Jacob Turenne | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 17.6% | 60.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.