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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.56+3.02vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.24+2.82vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.44+1.34vs Predicted
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5Marquette University1.11+1.02vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.27-0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.40-1.70vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.24-4.58vs Predicted
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9University of Minnesota0.08-0.34vs Predicted
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10Purdue University0.02-1.27vs Predicted
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11Iowa State University-0.52-1.24vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-1.34-0.60vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-1.58-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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5.02University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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5.82Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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6.02Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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5.65Northwestern University1.270.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Wisconsin2.240.2%1st Place
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8.66University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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8.73Purdue University0.020.0%1st Place
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9.76Iowa State University-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Chicago-1.340.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Illinois-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 15.9% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colton Gerber | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Clulo | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Bruce | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Austin Haag | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 22.9% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 18.0% | 10.6% | 2.9% |
| David Mirkhaef | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 19.6% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
| Stefan Peterson | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 21.4% | 19.5% | 8.8% |
| John Neenan | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 30.8% | 36.3% |
| Jacob Turenne | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 11.0% | 26.5% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.