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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.23+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.58+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.34+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11+2.23vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.65vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.68-1.33vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.67-2.22vs Predicted
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8Iowa State University-0.42-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.29-3.22vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.68-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-1.73-0.57vs Predicted
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12Purdue University-1.69-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-2.53-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Wisconsin1.580.3%1st Place
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5.63University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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4.67University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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4.78Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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7.51Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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8.17Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.53Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Illinois-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susan Riley | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Noah Janssen | 31.1% | 21.7% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Thayer | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Neubauer | 12.9% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| August Nagro | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Logacho | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 27.2% | 18.0% |
| Emily Allen | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 18.9% | 29.3% | 20.0% |
| Angus Inman | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 10.7% | 19.9% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.