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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota0.34+4.64vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.23+3.92vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.58-0.12vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.67+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.11+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.68-1.32vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-0.10-0.35vs Predicted
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8Iowa State University-0.42-0.45vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.29-3.20vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-0.68-1.85vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.69-0.64vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-1.73-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-2.53-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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5.92Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Wisconsin1.580.3%1st Place
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4.76Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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7.55Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.8University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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8.15Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.36Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Illinois-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stone | 8.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Susan Riley | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 30.2% | 22.0% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 11.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Thayer | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Will Neubauer | 12.1% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| August Nagro | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Logacho | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Emily Allen | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 19.4% | 27.0% | 16.8% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 17.7% | 29.4% | 21.7% |
| Angus Inman | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 10.5% | 20.2% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.