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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.68+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.11+3.26vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.68+4.24vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.29+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.34-1.48vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.23-2.14vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.73+1.46vs Predicted
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10Marquette University0.67-5.24vs Predicted
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11Iowa State University-0.42-3.56vs Predicted
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12Purdue University-1.69-1.48vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-2.53-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Wisconsin1.580.3%1st Place
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4.79University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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8.24Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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6.69University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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5.86Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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4.76Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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7.44Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.52Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Illinois-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 29.9% | 23.1% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Neubauer | 11.8% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Thayer | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kelly Logacho | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Stone | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 18.9% | 28.9% | 19.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| August Nagro | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Emily Allen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 20.0% | 26.6% | 20.4% |
| Angus Inman | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 22.5% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.