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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.11+5.17vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.58+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.29+2.75vs Predicted
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4Iowa State University-0.42+3.64vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.34+0.54vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.23-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.68-2.30vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.67-3.25vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.68-0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.10-3.26vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.69-0.67vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-1.73-1.40vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-2.53-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Wisconsin1.580.3%1st Place
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5.75University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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7.64Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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5.83Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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4.75Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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8.24Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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10.33Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Illinois-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Thayer | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 30.5% | 22.1% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| August Nagro | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 1.1% |
| Michael Stone | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Susan Riley | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Neubauer | 12.6% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bobby Sessions | 11.4% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Logacho | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 2.4% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 17.4% | 27.7% | 16.6% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 17.9% | 28.8% | 21.6% |
| Angus Inman | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 19.4% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.