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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida Institute of Technology1.99+2.41vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.47+0.79vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.73-0.56vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.93-0.43vs Predicted
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5Rollins College1.92-1.40vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.55-0.76vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-3.11-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Florida Institute of Technology1.990.2%1st Place
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2.79Eckerd College2.470.2%1st Place
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2.44Eckerd College2.730.3%1st Place
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3.57University of South Florida1.930.1%1st Place
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3.6Rollins College1.920.1%1st Place
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5.24University of South Florida0.550.0%1st Place
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6.95Embry-Riddle University-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Harris | 15.6% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 10.5% | 0.3% |
| Amy Baxter | 24.6% | 22.0% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Solvig Sayre | 31.4% | 26.6% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam DePrimo | 13.7% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 24.7% | 9.9% | 0.1% |
| Tristan Jackson | 11.8% | 16.0% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 10.8% | 0.5% |
| Jonathon Ellington | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 60.6% | 2.5% |
| Benamin Breitberg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.