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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+1.94vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.29+3.79vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.68+1.82vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.23+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.34+0.58vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.70vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.68+1.14vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.84-3.64vs Predicted
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9Iowa State University-0.42-1.34vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.11-3.79vs Predicted
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11University of Chicago-1.73-0.57vs Predicted
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12Purdue University-1.69-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-2.53-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Wisconsin1.580.3%1st Place
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5.79University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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5.95Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.14Northwestern University-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.36Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.66Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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10.56Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Illinois-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 28.2% | 22.3% | 18.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Will Neubauer | 10.4% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Susan Riley | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Stone | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Logacho | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 14.6% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Nagro | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Thayer | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Martin | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 27.5% | 18.1% |
| Emily Allen | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 19.3% | 28.9% | 19.8% |
| Angus Inman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 19.5% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.