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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+2.24vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.93+0.68vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.11+3.57vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.34+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.10+1.94vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan0.68-0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.29-1.00vs Predicted
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8Iowa State University-0.42-0.24vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.96+0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.73+0.55vs Predicted
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11Marquette University0.84-6.34vs Predicted
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12Purdue University-1.69-1.42vs Predicted
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13University of Illinois-2.53-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.24University of Wisconsin1.580.2%1st Place
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2.68Northwestern University1.930.3%1st Place
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6.57University of Michigan0.110.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Minnesota0.340.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Wisconsin-0.100.0%1st Place
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5.13University of Michigan0.680.1%1st Place
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6.0University of Notre Dame0.290.1%1st Place
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7.76Iowa State University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.08Northwestern University-0.960.0%1st Place
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10.55University of Chicago-1.730.0%1st Place
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4.66Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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10.58Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Illinois-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 22.5% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 31.1% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Thayer | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Stone | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Will Neubauer | 9.6% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Kinneally | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| August Nagro | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Cuyler Dull | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 4.6% |
| Kyra Martin | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 21.7% | 25.7% | 19.9% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 27.0% | 19.6% |
| Angus Inman | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 21.9% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.