← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida0.55+4.15vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.93+1.53vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.47-0.20vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology1.99-0.50vs Predicted
-
5Rollins College1.92-1.42vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College2.73-3.51vs Predicted
-
8Embry-Riddle University-3.11-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.15University of South Florida0.550.0%1st Place
-
3.53University of South Florida1.930.1%1st Place
-
2.8Eckerd College2.470.2%1st Place
-
3.5Florida Institute of Technology1.990.1%1st Place
-
3.58Rollins College1.920.1%1st Place
-
2.49Eckerd College2.730.3%1st Place
-
6.95Embry-Riddle University-3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathon Ellington | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 58.7% | 2.8% |
| Adam DePrimo | 13.9% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 21.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 22.6% | 24.4% | 21.4% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Adam Harris | 13.9% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 20.3% | 21.0% | 10.3% | 0.1% |
| Tristan Jackson | 13.1% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 22.3% | 11.5% | 0.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 32.1% | 25.3% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Benamin Breitberg | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 96.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.