Race 2A

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Lynn 27.1% 20.8% 16.0% 13.9% 9.0% 5.3% 4.5% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 7.8% 6.4% 10.5% 9.1% 11.2% 9.9% 10.7% 9.2% 10.1% 8.2% 5.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Sean Beaulieu 12.0% 14.6% 13.0% 11.8% 12.2% 10.7% 8.8% 7.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ethan Andersen 9.6% 9.6% 9.9% 12.8% 10.2% 10.9% 9.3% 8.5% 8.5% 7.0% 3.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Henry Sharpe 8.9% 8.0% 10.0% 10.3% 9.2% 9.5% 9.7% 11.6% 9.5% 8.1% 3.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Aaron Klein 7.2% 6.6% 6.7% 10.0% 9.1% 9.3% 9.8% 11.1% 9.4% 11.0% 7.5% 2.2% 0.1%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 8.0% 9.1% 10.1% 7.9% 9.7% 10.4% 10.7% 10.2% 9.2% 7.7% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Noah Brayer 3.1% 5.5% 3.6% 5.2% 5.4% 5.5% 8.9% 10.5% 11.8% 15.3% 16.8% 6.9% 1.5%
Joseph Chamberlin 6.4% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 9.5% 11.2% 10.2% 10.7% 10.9% 8.4% 2.6% 0.3%
Joshua Mandelbaum 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 3.8% 3.9% 4.6% 6.9% 8.9% 12.2% 26.1% 17.6% 6.1%
Sofia Marie Mascia 7.3% 9.7% 9.6% 7.5% 9.6% 12.8% 9.3% 10.6% 9.7% 9.0% 3.3% 1.6% 0.0%
Carter Goodell 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.1% 3.3% 3.7% 9.3% 32.4% 45.0%
Shannon McKeown 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 2.8% 3.1% 9.6% 32.3% 46.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.