Race 4A

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ethan Andersen 8.6% 9.8% 11.2% 12.0% 10.1% 9.9% 11.0% 9.6% 8.1% 5.9% 3.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 7.6% 9.1% 7.2% 9.7% 10.3% 11.2% 10.1% 10.4% 10.5% 7.5% 5.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Peter Lynn 26.4% 21.2% 16.7% 14.0% 7.9% 5.7% 4.8% 1.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 5.6% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 9.2% 9.7% 10.7% 9.6% 11.0% 11.4% 6.7% 2.7% 0.3%
Carter Goodell 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 3.1% 3.2% 9.2% 31.5% 44.9%
Joshua Mandelbaum 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.7% 3.8% 4.7% 4.6% 8.0% 7.5% 12.8% 27.6% 16.0% 5.2%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 8.4% 9.4% 9.2% 8.3% 9.2% 9.5% 12.0% 10.1% 9.7% 8.5% 4.0% 1.7% 0.0%
Joseph Chamberlin 5.5% 7.6% 7.2% 7.5% 8.8% 10.2% 11.1% 10.2% 12.5% 11.2% 6.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Henry Sharpe 8.5% 7.7% 8.9% 10.0% 9.3% 10.4% 10.4% 10.9% 9.1% 7.6% 5.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Sofia Marie Mascia 8.8% 6.6% 9.5% 8.8% 10.8% 10.1% 8.6% 9.1% 10.3% 9.8% 5.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Sean Beaulieu 14.3% 13.4% 14.9% 13.2% 12.0% 9.6% 7.1% 6.9% 4.3% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 5.0% 6.3% 6.8% 7.5% 10.3% 11.1% 15.2% 17.6% 8.1% 1.3%
Shannon McKeown 0.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 3.8% 8.0% 32.9% 47.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.