Race 5A

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

15.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sean Beaulieu 13.1% 12.4% 14.7% 12.0% 12.2% 10.9% 8.4% 6.8% 4.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Henry Sharpe 7.3% 9.8% 8.6% 9.3% 9.9% 11.4% 11.5% 8.9% 9.9% 6.5% 4.6% 1.9% 0.4%
Aaron Klein 5.2% 6.0% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 9.2% 10.6% 11.0% 11.4% 11.0% 7.4% 1.7% 0.6%
Joshua Mandelbaum 1.7% 1.8% 2.2% 3.9% 3.0% 4.3% 4.2% 6.5% 9.3% 12.3% 23.1% 21.4% 6.3%
Peter Lynn 27.2% 24.6% 14.2% 11.2% 8.8% 6.0% 4.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 3.9% 4.4% 5.0% 5.2% 5.2% 6.8% 7.2% 10.6% 11.0% 14.0% 16.1% 8.0% 2.6%
Kelsey Delosh 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.0% 2.3% 2.0% 4.8% 7.3% 9.6% 34.8% 32.1%
Sofia Marie Mascia 7.6% 8.3% 8.4% 8.3% 10.6% 10.0% 10.6% 11.4% 10.7% 6.6% 5.7% 1.3% 0.5%
Kurran Singh 8.6% 6.0% 9.5% 10.1% 8.9% 9.6% 11.0% 10.5% 9.1% 8.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 8.9% 7.6% 8.1% 10.1% 10.7% 9.5% 9.5% 9.4% 9.1% 9.6% 6.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Ethan Andersen 9.4% 11.4% 11.3% 11.6% 11.4% 10.8% 9.4% 8.4% 6.9% 5.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Joseph Chamberlin 5.9% 6.3% 8.1% 7.0% 8.3% 9.7% 10.2% 10.8% 10.2% 12.1% 8.0% 3.1% 0.3%
Carter Goodell 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 1.0% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 3.1% 9.1% 23.2% 56.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.