Race 1B

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brian Baker 8.8% 8.6% 11.2% 11.4% 11.0% 10.4% 11.6% 9.3% 9.2% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Jacob Martz 21.7% 20.3% 15.9% 12.9% 10.6% 7.3% 5.6% 2.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Gabriel Hannon 10.4% 10.6% 13.9% 13.3% 13.1% 9.0% 10.3% 8.6% 5.5% 4.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.2%
Alex Fowkes 4.8% 6.1% 5.6% 6.4% 9.6% 8.8% 9.1% 14.6% 11.3% 10.4% 8.8% 3.8% 0.7%
Kimberly Morecraft 11.1% 11.0% 10.9% 11.8% 9.9% 11.9% 11.1% 8.4% 7.5% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Benjamin Zheng 2.3% 2.1% 3.8% 3.2% 3.7% 4.7% 5.1% 7.8% 11.5% 15.1% 17.3% 16.2% 7.2%
Camille Matile 19.9% 16.9% 15.3% 14.1% 10.6% 9.9% 5.4% 4.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Griffin Brayer 0.7% 1.7% 1.5% 1.2% 2.9% 3.4% 2.6% 3.5% 7.2% 9.8% 16.9% 24.4% 24.2%
John Piotti 6.5% 6.2% 6.7% 7.9% 7.7% 9.7% 11.9% 10.9% 11.3% 10.7% 6.9% 2.6% 1.0%
Benjamin Eley 4.1% 5.1% 4.1% 4.6% 7.0% 9.3% 8.6% 11.4% 11.2% 14.9% 10.2% 6.7% 2.8%
Charlotte Lenz 7.5% 9.8% 8.8% 9.2% 10.7% 10.3% 12.2% 9.8% 9.8% 6.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 1.4% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 2.3% 4.1% 4.9% 5.8% 7.3% 11.5% 17.8% 21.3% 18.3%
Isabel Rombult 0.8% 0.3% 0.8% 1.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 3.8% 6.8% 12.3% 21.8% 45.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.