Race 2B

central

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jacob Martz 21.9% 20.4% 15.9% 12.8% 9.8% 8.5% 5.4% 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Piotti 6.0% 5.6% 8.5% 7.8% 7.4% 10.5% 10.3% 12.9% 12.8% 8.8% 6.5% 1.9% 1.0%
Camille Matile 17.5% 17.1% 16.0% 13.1% 11.8% 9.2% 7.5% 3.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Brian Baker 9.6% 9.5% 8.0% 12.0% 11.6% 10.8% 9.8% 10.8% 7.9% 6.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Charlotte Lenz 8.4% 7.4% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 10.0% 11.3% 10.5% 10.7% 7.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.3%
Alex Fowkes 5.9% 5.2% 6.1% 6.8% 10.1% 7.7% 11.6% 11.9% 10.3% 11.8% 8.0% 3.6% 1.0%
Gabriel Hannon 11.9% 12.6% 11.4% 11.8% 11.7% 11.9% 8.2% 9.1% 6.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Benjamin Eley 3.9% 4.7% 5.0% 6.6% 5.1% 7.9% 9.5% 10.9% 13.8% 14.7% 10.1% 6.3% 1.5%
Griffin Brayer 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 3.0% 4.1% 5.4% 8.5% 16.8% 26.0% 25.4%
Benjamin Zheng 2.4% 2.5% 2.8% 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 6.2% 7.4% 10.4% 14.8% 17.9% 15.4% 8.8%
Kimberly Morecraft 10.1% 11.7% 11.8% 11.4% 12.8% 11.3% 10.5% 8.1% 6.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 0.9% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 7.7% 13.2% 18.1% 20.7% 18.0%
Isabel Rombult 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 3.2% 3.3% 6.6% 12.7% 22.7% 43.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.