Race 3B

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Camille Matile 20.3% 15.2% 15.6% 14.5% 10.8% 8.5% 7.8% 4.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 22.5% 19.8% 17.1% 12.4% 10.3% 7.3% 5.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Brian Baker 6.6% 10.6% 11.3% 11.4% 10.4% 11.1% 11.2% 11.0% 7.9% 5.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Alex Fowkes 4.4% 5.2% 7.2% 7.7% 8.3% 10.0% 9.5% 13.0% 13.2% 10.1% 7.9% 2.6% 0.9%
Gabriel Hannon 12.6% 14.1% 11.1% 10.6% 12.2% 10.1% 10.8% 7.3% 6.8% 3.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Kimberly Morecraft 10.6% 11.5% 10.6% 12.5% 11.4% 11.6% 11.1% 7.3% 6.9% 4.4% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Griffin Brayer 1.3% 1.2% 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 4.2% 5.1% 6.8% 11.4% 17.3% 22.1% 21.6%
Charlotte Lenz 8.3% 8.9% 7.4% 9.7% 11.2% 10.6% 11.5% 13.0% 9.7% 5.1% 3.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Juan Crestanello 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3.4% 4.2% 6.0% 13.2% 18.3% 23.4% 19.5%
John Piotti 6.7% 6.4% 6.9% 8.4% 9.2% 10.4% 8.9% 13.3% 11.2% 9.9% 5.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Benjamin Eley 3.6% 3.8% 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 8.5% 10.1% 11.6% 14.6% 12.9% 9.3% 4.7% 1.6%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 2.5% 3.1% 3.9% 4.9% 4.4% 9.2% 15.3% 16.4% 21.4% 14.9%
Isabel Rombult 0.8% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.4% 2.0% 1.5% 2.9% 4.0% 7.7% 16.6% 20.7% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.