Race 4B

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Camille Matile 19.6% 16.8% 14.9% 14.5% 12.5% 7.7% 7.1% 3.1% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Martz 22.0% 21.0% 15.5% 14.0% 9.8% 7.5% 5.4% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Fowkes 4.8% 4.6% 6.8% 8.4% 7.5% 10.3% 10.1% 12.9% 14.0% 10.7% 5.8% 3.4% 0.7%
Kimberly Morecraft 10.2% 10.6% 11.5% 11.7% 12.1% 11.4% 9.1% 11.7% 6.7% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Brian Baker 10.6% 9.8% 10.9% 10.5% 10.2% 12.2% 10.0% 10.8% 7.0% 4.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Griffin Brayer 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 3.2% 2.4% 2.2% 4.8% 7.2% 11.5% 19.3% 24.2% 19.7%
Charlotte Lenz 8.7% 9.6% 8.3% 7.5% 11.6% 10.9% 11.9% 11.0% 10.3% 5.2% 3.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Gabriel Hannon 11.4% 12.7% 13.1% 10.7% 11.9% 11.9% 11.0% 7.5% 5.4% 3.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
John Piotti 6.0% 6.0% 6.6% 8.8% 8.3% 10.1% 12.6% 11.8% 10.8% 11.0% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6%
Ian Rashleigh McNally 1.1% 2.4% 2.2% 1.8% 3.8% 2.6% 4.6% 5.8% 8.1% 15.9% 17.8% 19.8% 14.1%
Benjamin Eley 3.5% 3.8% 6.5% 6.9% 6.0% 9.1% 10.1% 10.6% 13.3% 13.6% 10.5% 5.3% 0.8%
Isabel Rombult 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 5.4% 7.1% 14.1% 20.1% 42.1%
Juan Crestanello 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 4.9% 8.5% 12.1% 17.4% 23.1% 21.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.