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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28+5.61vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.41+1.84vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.15+4.01vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94+0.95vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41+5.43vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83-0.83vs Predicted
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7Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87+0.54vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.69-2.52vs Predicted
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9Harvard University0.27+0.17vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.52-4.07vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.59-7.67vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.11-1.91vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
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3.84Northeastern University2.410.2%1st Place
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7.01Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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4.95Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.17University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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7.54Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.1%1st Place
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5.48Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.33Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
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10.09Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.44University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Piotti | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Camille Matile | 18.9% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fowkes | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Brayer | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 25.6% | 23.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 10.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Eley | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 1.4% |
| Brian Baker | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 9.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 8.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Martz | 22.6% | 23.1% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 17.7% |
| Isabel Rombult | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 20.9% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.