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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+1.68vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.69+2.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.84+1.03vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60-1.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04-2.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
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4.2Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.03Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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2.99Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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2.44Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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6.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 26.2% | 25.3% | 20.9% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Brian Baker | 7.9% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 25.3% | 21.6% | 2.7% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 24.8% | 17.5% | 2.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 20.6% | 20.5% | 21.6% | 19.6% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Alp Rodopman | 31.0% | 28.1% | 18.3% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Emily Casella | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 43.4% | 6.9% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 86.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.