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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+1.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+0.40vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80-1.24vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69-0.72vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.84-1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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2.4Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.93Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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2.76University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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4.28Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.02Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 23.0% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 11.5% | 4.7% | 0.2% |
| Alp Rodopman | 31.0% | 28.7% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Emily Casella | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 20.9% | 41.3% | 7.6% |
| Thomas Harden | 24.2% | 22.2% | 23.4% | 16.5% | 11.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Brian Baker | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 22.9% | 24.2% | 3.4% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 24.8% | 18.4% | 1.9% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.