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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+1.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+0.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.84+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80-1.26vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-0.03vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.69-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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2.38Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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4.05Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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2.74University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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4.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.72University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 22.9% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Alp Rodopman | 31.1% | 30.2% | 18.5% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.2% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 23.7% | 18.2% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 24.5% | 22.7% | 22.8% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Casella | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 41.7% | 8.3% |
| Brian Baker | 7.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 24.2% | 23.1% | 2.8% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 7.9% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.