← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.80+1.70vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.60+0.94vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.84+1.05vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University1.69+0.25vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.04-3.56vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-2.09vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.7University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
-
2.94Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
-
4.05Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
-
4.25Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
-
2.44Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
-
4.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
6.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 26.5% | 23.5% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 20.0% | 24.0% | 21.2% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.0% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 23.9% | 17.2% | 2.9% |
| Brian Baker | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 25.6% | 23.5% | 3.1% |
| Alp Rodopman | 31.4% | 26.5% | 20.0% | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Emily Casella | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 19.5% | 42.2% | 6.6% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.