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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+1.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.84+1.96vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+1.94vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80-1.22vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69-0.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04-3.59vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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3.96Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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2.78University of Vermont2.800.2%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.41Tufts University3.040.3%1st Place
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6.73University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 23.2% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 23.8% | 18.1% | 1.5% |
| Emily Casella | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 20.3% | 41.9% | 7.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 23.0% | 24.4% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 10.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Brian Baker | 6.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 19.9% | 23.2% | 23.7% | 3.6% |
| Alp Rodopman | 32.8% | 27.1% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.