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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.80+0.61vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.84+1.01vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.69+0.22vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82-2.32vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-1.12vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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2.61University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
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4.01Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.22Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.68Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 23.2% | 21.8% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Harden | 27.3% | 25.3% | 21.0% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.1% | 11.0% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 2.9% |
| Brian Baker | 8.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 25.0% | 23.2% | 3.1% |
| Jack Bitney | 26.6% | 25.6% | 19.1% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Emily Casella | 5.1% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 41.4% | 6.6% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 7.1% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.