← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.80+1.61vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.84+1.94vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.60-0.08vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+0.95vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.69-0.78vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.82-3.35vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.61University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
-
3.94Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
-
2.92Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
-
4.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
4.22Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
-
2.65Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
-
6.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 27.8% | 24.8% | 20.9% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 22.2% | 17.6% | 2.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 20.7% | 23.7% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Casella | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 19.6% | 41.7% | 8.1% |
| Brian Baker | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 19.4% | 24.9% | 21.9% | 3.3% |
| Jack Bitney | 28.6% | 22.6% | 21.9% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 8.2% | 85.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.