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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+1.83vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.84+1.92vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+1.92vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80-1.28vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69-0.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82-4.35vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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3.92Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.65Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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6.73University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 25.0% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 10.3% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 23.4% | 17.9% | 1.5% |
| Emily Casella | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 20.2% | 41.7% | 7.7% |
| Thomas Harden | 25.5% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 18.1% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Brian Baker | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 22.7% | 23.5% | 3.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 26.2% | 26.5% | 19.8% | 15.1% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 86.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.