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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+1.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.60+0.90vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.82-0.40vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.69+0.21vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.84-0.96vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-2.10vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.16-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
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2.9Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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2.6Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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4.04Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 27.3% | 26.8% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 21.6% | 22.0% | 23.6% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 28.3% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Brian Baker | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 24.9% | 23.1% | 2.7% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 2.5% |
| Emily Casella | 5.1% | 4.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 40.8% | 7.2% |
| Shannon McKeown | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.