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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+1.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+0.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.84+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.80-1.39vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-1.12vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.69-2.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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3.93Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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2.61University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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4.11Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 21.7% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 29.1% | 25.0% | 20.4% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 25.8% | 18.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 26.8% | 23.9% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| Emily Casella | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 21.0% | 49.6% |
| Brian Baker | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 25.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.