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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.80+1.64vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.60+0.84vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+1.78vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.69+0.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82-3.28vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.84-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
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2.84Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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4.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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4.09Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.72Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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3.92Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Harden | 26.2% | 24.6% | 22.1% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 24.0% | 22.3% | 20.6% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 5.1% |
| Emily Casella | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 48.0% |
| Brian Baker | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 26.6% | 21.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 25.7% | 24.8% | 19.9% | 15.6% | 9.9% | 4.1% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 25.1% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.