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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.60+1.90vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.80+0.59vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.69+1.11vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82-2.43vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-1.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.84-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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2.59University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
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4.11Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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2.57Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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4.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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3.95Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Hamilton | 21.1% | 23.1% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 10.0% | 5.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 28.8% | 24.2% | 21.2% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Brian Baker | 8.9% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 18.0% | 26.4% | 22.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 27.4% | 25.0% | 22.0% | 16.4% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Emily Casella | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 22.1% | 48.9% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 9.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 21.4% | 24.7% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.