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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.84+2.94vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.82+0.58vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.60-0.15vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80-3.27vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.69-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Brown University1.840.1%1st Place
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2.58Tufts University2.820.3%1st Place
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2.85Northeastern University2.600.2%1st Place
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4.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
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2.73University of Vermont2.800.3%1st Place
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4.12Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blasberg | 8.8% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 19.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 29.3% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 22.2% | 23.1% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 11.7% | 3.4% |
| Emily Casella | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 21.0% | 46.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 26.0% | 24.4% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 4.7% |
| Brian Baker | 8.6% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 19.8% | 25.4% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.