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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.82+0.64vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.69+0.67vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.84-0.44vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.14-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64Tufts University2.820.6%1st Place
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2.67Salve Regina University1.690.2%1st Place
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2.56Brown University1.840.2%1st Place
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3.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Bitney | 55.7% | 28.8% | 11.6% | 3.9% |
| Brian Baker | 16.3% | 26.4% | 31.1% | 26.2% |
| Charlie Blasberg | 18.2% | 29.9% | 29.3% | 22.6% |
| Emily Casella | 9.8% | 14.9% | 28.0% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.