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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+2.14vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+0.94vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16-0.37vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82-0.81vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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2.94Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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2.63Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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3.19Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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4.22Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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5.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 19.3% | 21.2% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 0.9% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 22.9% | 19.8% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Christensen | 26.7% | 25.0% | 22.7% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 18.8% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 6.1% | 0.6% |
| John Duncan | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 27.6% | 19.5% | 3.9% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 15.7% | 47.1% | 13.9% |
| Hanna Desilets | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 11.5% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.