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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.77+2.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.94+0.94vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.16-0.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.08+0.21vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.82-1.83vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.54-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Vermont1.770.2%1st Place
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2.94Brown University1.940.2%1st Place
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2.64Northeastern University2.160.3%1st Place
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4.21Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.17Salve Regina University1.820.2%1st Place
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5.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vincent Yannelli | 19.4% | 18.9% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 22.1% | 21.6% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 27.7% | 23.7% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| John Duncan | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 28.8% | 19.8% | 3.6% |
| Grace Vincens | 17.8% | 21.1% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 17.2% | 46.1% | 13.4% |
| Hanna Desilets | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 11.2% | 79.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.